Monday 13 July 2026
Trading day 2026-07-13
Tasmanian price volatility contrasts with negative average spot prices in South Australia
Regional average prices varied widely across the NEM, ranging from 115.90 dollars in Tasmania to negative 5.80 dollars in South Australia. South Australia saw 454 negative price intervals, while Victoria recorded 306 negative intervals and an average price of 15.70 dollars. Tasmania was the only region to hit the price cap, reaching 23,200 dollars per megawatt hour during two specific intervals.
Aggregate demand peaked in the evening, led by New South Wales at 10,971 megawatts at 18:45 and Victoria at 8,115 megawatts at 18:00. Total renewable energy share for the day was 48.4 percent, with rooftop and utility solar combining for 15.2 percent of the mix. Wind generation was the second largest source of energy at 27.3 percent, while gas contributed only 1.3 percent.
Battery storage systems discharged 15,843 megawatt hours into the grid, though the sector remained a net consumer with 3,069 megawatt hours of net charging. FCAS costs were concentrated in Tasmania, where the Raise Regulation service peaked at 217 dollars and Raise 6 Second reached 382 dollars. Interconnector flows showed 47,748 megawatt hours moving from Victoria to New South Wales to support northern demand.
Total daily emissions were 328,898 tonnes of carbon dioxide, reflecting a substantial decrease from the previous week. Despite the volatility in Tasmania, the broader market saw relatively subdued pricing in the mainland regions during the middle of the day.
Today · Forecasts indicate a peak price of 319.04 dollars in Queensland at 19:30 and 145.00 dollars in South Australia at 18:30.
Why it matters · The daily average price of 45.20 dollars sits 54.2 percent below the weekly average, continuing a three-day trend of declining prices. This low-price environment coincided with a high 68.4 percent renewable peak and negative pricing in 454 intervals in South Australia despite extreme volatility in Tasmania.
Prices
Trading day · 04:00 → 04:00 AEST · 30-min average
| Region | Avg | VWAP | Min | Max | Neg | Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSW | $56 | $57 | -$6 | $99 | 8 | 0 |
| QLD | $47 | $52 | -$5 | $101 | 78 | 0 |
| SA | -$6 | -$4 | -$204 | $60 | 454 | 0 |
| VIC | $16 | $19 | -$757 | $284 | 306 | 0 |
| TAS | $116 | $127 | -$16 | $23200 | 134 | 2 |
Min · Max are 5-minute dispatch extremes; the price chart plots 30-minute averages, so its peak reads lower.
Demand
FCAS
| Service | Cost | Spikes | Peak | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RAISEREG | $7,264 | 0 | $16 | 13 July, 15:40 |
| LOWERREG | $683 | 0 | $5 | 13 July, 15:40 |
| LOWER60SEC | $176 | 0 | $1 | 13 July, 15:10 |
| RAISE6SEC | $162 | 0 | $0 | 13 July, 09:10 |
| RAISE60SEC | $138 | 0 | $0 | 13 July, 09:10 |
| RAISE5MIN | $60 | 0 | $0 | 13 July, 07:30 |
| LOWER5MIN | $60 | 0 | $0 | 13 July, 15:15 |
| LOWER6SEC | $59 | 0 | $0 | 13 July, 13:55 |
| Total | $8,602 | |||
Cost = NSW RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.
| Service | Cost | Spikes | Peak | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RAISEREG | $5,953 | 0 | $16 | 13 July, 15:40 |
| LOWERREG | $2,155 | 0 | $5 | 13 July, 15:40 |
| LOWER60SEC | $388 | 0 | $1 | 13 July, 15:10 |
| RAISE6SEC | $292 | 0 | $0 | 13 July, 09:10 |
| RAISE60SEC | $201 | 0 | $0 | 13 July, 09:10 |
| LOWER6SEC | $96 | 0 | $0 | 13 July, 13:55 |
| LOWER5MIN | $78 | 0 | $0 | 13 July, 15:15 |
| RAISE5MIN | $44 | 0 | $0 | 13 July, 07:30 |
| Total | $9,208 | |||
Cost = QLD RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.
| Service | Cost | Spikes | Peak | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RAISEREG | $9,675 | 0 | $16 | 13 July, 15:40 |
| LOWERREG | $1,838 | 0 | $5 | 13 July, 15:40 |
| LOWER60SEC | $467 | 0 | $1 | 13 July, 15:10 |
| RAISE6SEC | $255 | 0 | $0 | 13 July, 09:10 |
| RAISE60SEC | $244 | 0 | $0 | 13 July, 09:10 |
| LOWER5MIN | $138 | 0 | $0 | 13 July, 15:15 |
| LOWER6SEC | $103 | 0 | $0 | 13 July, 13:55 |
| RAISE5MIN | $95 | 0 | $0 | 13 July, 07:30 |
| Total | $12,815 | |||
Cost = VIC RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.
| Service | Cost | Spikes | Peak | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RAISEREG | $4,136 | 0 | $16 | 13 July, 15:40 |
| LOWERREG | $3,333 | 0 | $5 | 13 July, 15:40 |
| LOWER60SEC | $278 | 0 | $1 | 13 July, 15:10 |
| RAISE6SEC | $261 | 0 | $0 | 13 July, 09:10 |
| RAISE60SEC | $199 | 0 | $0 | 13 July, 09:10 |
| LOWER6SEC | $93 | 0 | $0 | 13 July, 13:55 |
| RAISE5MIN | $81 | 0 | $0 | 13 July, 07:30 |
| LOWER5MIN | $56 | 0 | $0 | 13 July, 15:15 |
| Total | $8,438 | |||
Cost = SA RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.
| Service | Cost | Spikes | Peak | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RAISE6SEC | $17,019 | 0 | $382 | 13 July, 10:35 |
| RAISEREG | $11,897 | 0 | $217 | 13 July, 10:35 |
| LOWERREG | $4,710 | 0 | $50 | 13 July, 08:55 |
| RAISE60SEC | $2,054 | 0 | $3 | 13 July, 09:05 |
| LOWER6SEC | $374 | 0 | $3 | 13 July, 09:35 |
| LOWER60SEC | $282 | 0 | $3 | 13 July, 09:40 |
| RAISE5MIN | $207 | 0 | $3 | 13 July, 09:35 |
| LOWER5MIN | $7 | 0 | $0 | 13 July, 10:40 |
| Total | $36,549 | |||
Cost = TAS RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.
Battery dispatch
Peak moment
Fleet discharged 1,287 MW at 18:30 as NSW spot hit $83/MWh.
Peak moment
Fleet discharged 1,207 MW at 18:30 as QLD spot hit $84/MWh.
Peak moment
Fleet discharged 558 MW at 20:00 as VIC spot hit $34/MWh.
Peak moment
Fleet discharged 503 MW at 19:00 as SA spot hit $56/MWh.
Peak moment
Fleet discharged 3,080 MW at 18:30 as TAS spot hit $13/MWh.
Fleet net dispatch · spot-price overlay · 30-min average
Regional dispatch ranking
| Region | Discharged | Net |
|---|---|---|
#1QLD | 5,621MWh | -981 |
#2NSW | 5,518MWh | -1,811 |
#3VIC | 3,710MWh | +86 |
#4SA | 995MWh | -363 |
Generation Mix
- Coal56.2% · 123.4 GWh
- Gas0.5% · 1.1 GWh
- Hydro3.6% · 8.0 GWh
- Wind18.2% · 40.1 GWh
- Solar (utility)8.8% · 19.4 GWh
- Solar (rooftop)10.2% · 22.3 GWh
- Battery2.5% · 5.5 GWh
- Coal60.4% · 118.8 GWh
- Gas2.4% · 4.8 GWh
- Hydro3.0% · 5.8 GWh
- Wind7.1% · 14.0 GWh
- Solar (utility)10.3% · 20.4 GWh
- Solar (rooftop)13.7% · 26.9 GWh
- Battery2.9% · 5.6 GWh
- Other0.2% · 0.4 GWh
- Coal48.3% · 96.0 GWh
- Hydro1.6% · 3.1 GWh
- Wind43.1% · 85.6 GWh
- Solar (utility)1.5% · 2.9 GWh
- Solar (rooftop)3.7% · 7.3 GWh
- Battery1.9% · 3.7 GWh
- Gas2.4% · 1.1 GWh
- Wind83.4% · 36.5 GWh
- Solar (utility)2.4% · 1.1 GWh
- Solar (rooftop)9.5% · 4.2 GWh
- Battery2.3% · 1.0 GWh
- Gas6.7% · 2.1 GWh
- Hydro54.1% · 16.8 GWh
- Wind37.9% · 11.7 GWh
- Solar (rooftop)1.3% · 0.4 GWh
Renewables
- NSW 38.3%
- VIC 58.0%
- QLD 39.7%
- SA 91.7%
- TAS 88.0%
Interconnectors
| Region (proxy) | Net flow | Direction changes | Hours at limit |
|---|---|---|---|
| N-Q-MNSP1 | +13.9 GWh | 30 | — |
| NSW1-QLD1 | −48.0 GWh | 0 | — |
| VIC1-NSW1 | +47.7 GWh | 0 | — |
| V-SA | −8.5 GWh | 28 | — |
| T-V-MNSP1 | −498 MWh | 1 | — |
Per-region net of NETINTERCHANGE proxied to a representative interconnector. Full per-interconnector decomposition + hours-at-limit needs DINTERCONNECTOR parsing (follow-up).
Emissions
| NSW | 107.8k tCO₂ | 0.485 tCO₂/MWh |
| QLD | 104.8k tCO₂ | 0.524 tCO₂/MWh |
| SA | 417 tCO₂ | 0.010 tCO₂/MWh |
| VIC | 114.6k tCO₂ | 0.577 tCO₂/MWh |
| TAS | 1.2k tCO₂ | 0.040 tCO₂/MWh |