NEM
NEM Daily analysis

Thursday 5 November 2026

Trading day 2026-11-05

Market Snapshot

South Australia reached a minimum price of -$325.4/MWh

Tasmania recorded the highest regional average price of $112.2/MWh with zero negative intervals. South Australia recorded the lowest average at $46.0/MWh, with prices below zero for 18.7 hours. Queensland and Victoria recorded negative prices for 17.3 and 15.8 hours respectively. No regions recorded cap intervals.

Queensland recorded the highest demand peak of 9361 MW at 17:40. New South Wales demand peaked at 8308 MW at 19:05, while Victoria reached 5997 MW at 06:40.

Coal accounted for 42.0 per cent of the generation mix, followed by rooftop solar at 21.1 per cent and wind at 12.5 per cent. Utility solar provided 12.1 per cent and hydro 6.7 per cent. Batteries discharged 22327 MWh with a net position of -1532 MWh.

FCAS costs were highest for the regulation raise service at $40327, peaking at $63/MW in Tasmania. Total NEM emissions were 273173 tonnes of carbon dioxide, 7.2 per cent below the same weekday last week.

Today · Pre-dispatch forecasts show prices peaking at $123.88/MWh in New South Wales and $117.71/MWh in Queensland at 21:30.

In context · The South Australian average price of $46.0/MWh was above its seven-day average of $44.0/MWh, ranking fourth for the week. The Tasmanian average of $112.2/MWh was above its seven-day average of $77.2/MWh and higher than the $87.19/MWh recorded on the same weekday last week.

NSW $62VIC $61QLD $57SA $46TAS $112
Numbers-only recap · gemini-3.1-pro-preview

Prices

Trading day · 04:00 → 04:00 AEST · 30-min average

NSW VIC QLD SA TAS
-$20 $18 $55 $93 $130 -$50 -$2 $45 $93 $140 -$10 $25 $60 $95 $130 -$250 -$147 -$45 $58 $160 $0 $35 $70 $105 $140 05:00 11:00 17:00 23:00 05:00
Region Avg VWAP Min Max Neg Cap
NSW $62 $73 -$24 $137 102 0
QLD $57 $64 -$11 $128 208 0
SA $46 $103 -$325 $191 224 0
VIC $61 $70 -$54 $163 190 0
TAS $112 $112 $60 $150 0 0

Min · Max are 5-minute dispatch extremes; the price chart plots 30-minute averages, so its peak reads lower.

Demand

NSW
Peak
8,308MW
20:05
Trough
3,829MW
12:30
Energy
302.1GWh
QLD
Peak
9,361MW
18:40
Trough
4,453MW
11:35
Energy
312.6GWh
SA
Peak
1,507MW
21:40
Trough
-111MW
14:30
Energy
44.6GWh
VIC
Peak
5,997MW
07:40
Trough
2,899MW
15:30
Energy
224.3GWh
TAS
Peak
1,140MW
20:15
Trough
699MW
14:20
Energy
45.8GWh

FCAS

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$7,8940$185 Nov, 16:50
LOWERREG$1,8710$355 Nov, 16:50
LOWER60SEC$2140$05 Nov, 16:05
RAISE60SEC$1860$05 Nov, 08:20
RAISE6SEC$1770$05 Nov, 06:25
LOWER5MIN$980$25 Nov, 16:20
RAISE5MIN$610$05 Nov, 08:10
LOWER6SEC$560$05 Nov, 15:40
Total$10,557

Cost = NSW RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
LOWERREG$10,0400$355 Nov, 16:50
RAISEREG$8,4350$185 Nov, 16:50
LOWER6SEC$6,8560$65 Nov, 12:45
LOWER60SEC$5,5300$65 Nov, 12:35
LOWER5MIN$7470$25 Nov, 16:20
RAISE6SEC$1340$05 Nov, 06:25
RAISE60SEC$1030$05 Nov, 06:25
RAISE5MIN$380$05 Nov, 08:25
Total$31,883

Cost = QLD RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$5,9630$185 Nov, 16:50
LOWERREG$2,3100$355 Nov, 16:50
RAISE60SEC$1650$05 Nov, 08:20
LOWER60SEC$1420$05 Nov, 16:05
RAISE6SEC$1350$05 Nov, 06:25
LOWER5MIN$1000$25 Nov, 16:20
RAISE5MIN$720$05 Nov, 08:10
LOWER6SEC$600$05 Nov, 15:40
Total$8,948

Cost = VIC RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$4,5060$185 Nov, 16:50
LOWERREG$3,8720$355 Nov, 16:50
LOWER60SEC$3900$05 Nov, 16:05
LOWER5MIN$3270$25 Nov, 16:20
RAISE6SEC$2580$05 Nov, 06:25
RAISE60SEC$2510$05 Nov, 08:20
LOWER6SEC$1940$05 Nov, 15:40
RAISE5MIN$710$05 Nov, 08:10
Total$9,869

Cost = SA RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

ServiceCostSpikesPeakWhen
RAISEREG$13,5270$636 Nov, 01:40
LOWERREG$3,0850$225 Nov, 18:20
RAISE6SEC$2,6960$35 Nov, 08:00
RAISE60SEC$1,5430$35 Nov, 12:35
LOWER6SEC$6380$205 Nov, 18:20
LOWER60SEC$1250$05 Nov, 06:10
RAISE5MIN$220$05 Nov, 06:25
LOWER5MIN$150$15 Nov, 18:20
Total$21,650

Cost = TAS RRP × cleared MW per 5-min interval.

Battery dispatch

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 1,468 MW at 20:30 as NSW spot hit $115/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 1,573 MW at 19:30 as QLD spot hit $118/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 820 MW at 06:00 as VIC spot hit $86/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 451 MW at 07:00 as SA spot hit $109/MWh.

Peak moment

Fleet discharged 3,444 MW at 20:30 as TAS spot hit $113/MWh.

Discharged
7,422MWh
peak 1,468 MW · 20:30
Charged
9,639MWh
peak 1,560 MW
Net
-2,217MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
77%
discharge / charge ratio
Discharged
5,279MWh
peak 1,573 MW · 19:30
Charged
6,619MWh
peak 1,439 MW
Net
-1,341MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
80%
discharge / charge ratio
Discharged
6,384MWh
peak 820 MW · 06:00
Charged
4,743MWh
peak 893 MW
Net
+1,641MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
135%
discharge / charge ratio
Discharged
3,243MWh
peak 451 MW · 07:00
Charged
2,858MWh
peak 631 MW
Net
+385MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
113%
discharge / charge ratio
NEM-wide
Discharged
22,327MWh
peak 3,444 MW · 20:30
Charged
23,859MWh
peak 4,118 MW
Net
-1,532MWh
discharge − charge
Round-trip
94%
discharge / charge ratio

Fleet net dispatch · spot-price overlay · 30-min average

Net MWdischarge ↑ · charge ↓NSWQLDVICSATAS$/MWh
-6.0 GW-4.0 GW-2.0 GW0 MW2.0 GW4.0 GW-$300-$200-$100$0$100$20000:3007:3714:4521:5205:00

Regional dispatch ranking

RegionDischargedNet
#1NSW
7,422MWh
-2,217
#2VIC
6,384MWh
+1,641
#3QLD
5,279MWh
-1,341
#4SA
3,243MWh
+385

Generation Mix

TOP FUEL 39.2%
  • Coal39.2% · 84.8 GWh
  • Gas0.2% · 0.5 GWh
  • Hydro5.7% · 12.4 GWh
  • Wind11.8% · 25.7 GWh
  • Solar (utility)16.4% · 35.6 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)23.2% · 50.2 GWh
  • Battery3.4% · 7.4 GWh
TOP FUEL 53.7%
  • Coal53.7% · 122.5 GWh
  • Gas1.5% · 3.4 GWh
  • Hydro3.8% · 8.7 GWh
  • Wind6.3% · 14.4 GWh
  • Solar (utility)12.9% · 29.5 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)19.4% · 44.2 GWh
  • Battery2.3% · 5.3 GWh
TOP FUEL 45.7%
  • Coal45.7% · 72.6 GWh
  • Gas1.3% · 2.1 GWh
  • Hydro2.9% · 4.6 GWh
  • Wind18.0% · 28.6 GWh
  • Solar (utility)9.2% · 14.6 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)17.9% · 28.4 GWh
  • Battery4.0% · 6.4 GWh
  • Other1.0% · 1.6 GWh
TOP FUEL 42.5%
  • Gas22.0% · 8.0 GWh
  • Wind23.3% · 8.5 GWh
  • Solar (utility)2.2% · 0.8 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)42.5% · 15.4 GWh
  • Battery8.9% · 3.2 GWh
  • Other1.0% · 0.4 GWh
TOP FUEL 67.9%
  • Gas2.8% · 0.8 GWh
  • Hydro67.9% · 19.1 GWh
  • Wind20.8% · 5.9 GWh
  • Solar (rooftop)8.5% · 2.4 GWh
coalgashydrobattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopBattery (charge)
00:3006:3712:4518:5201:0012.2 GW 0
coalgashydrobattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopBattery (charge)
00:3006:3712:4518:5201:0012.1 GW 0
coalgashydrobattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopotherBattery (charge)
00:3006:3712:4518:5201:007.2 GW 0
gasbattery dischargewindsolar utilitysolar rooftopotherBattery (charge)
00:3006:3712:4518:5201:002.1 GW 0
gashydrowindsolar rooftop
00:3006:3712:4518:5201:001.6 GW 0

Renewables

NSW · Daily renewable share
56.2%
VIC · Daily renewable share
54.3%
QLD · Daily renewable share
48.2%
SA · Daily renewable share
68.1%
TAS · Daily renewable share
98.9%
Peak instantaneous
80.3%
at 13:00
Daily NEM-wide share
51.5%
By region (daily share)
  • NSW
    56.2%
  • VIC
    54.3%
  • QLD
    48.2%
  • SA
    68.1%
  • TAS
    98.9%

Interconnectors

Region (proxy) Net flow Direction changes Hours at limit
N-Q-MNSP1 +21.6 GWh 16 —
NSW1-QLD1 −18.5 GWh 16 —
VIC1-NSW1 +1.0 GWh 32 —
V-SA −7.8 GWh 50 —
T-V-MNSP1 +6.4 GWh 3 —

Per-region net of NETINTERCHANGE proxied to a representative interconnector. Full per-interconnector decomposition + hours-at-limit needs DINTERCONNECTOR parsing (follow-up).

Emissions

Total emissions
273.2k tCO₂
▼ 7.2% vs same day last week
Intensity by region
NSW 74.0k tCO₂ 0.334 tCO₂/MWh
QLD 108.3k tCO₂ 0.469 tCO₂/MWh
SA 4.0k tCO₂ 0.105 tCO₂/MWh
VIC 86.3k tCO₂ 0.539 tCO₂/MWh
TAS 523 tCO₂ 0.019 tCO₂/MWh