Forecast Minimum System Load MSL2 condition in the SA Region on 08/11/2026

AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE

Update to Market Notice 145964 - AEMO has detected that there is an elevated risk of insufficient demand to maintain a secure operating state in the SA on 08/11/2026.

Minimum System Load (MSL) conditions are forecast when demand is less than the relevant MSL threshold. The advisory MSL thresholds are:
-	MSL1: -44 MW 
-	MSL2: -319 MW 
-	MSL3: -534 MW 

The demand is forecast to be below the MSL2 threshold for the following period: 
From 1130 hrs 08/11/2026 to 1400 hrs 08/11/2026. Minimum demand is forecast to be -353 MW at 1230 hrs.

Forecast demand refers to forecast Operational Demand that excludes contribution from Significant Non-Scheduled Generation: see definitions at https://aemo.com.au/energy-systems/electricity/national-electricity-market-nem/data-nem/operational-demand-data .

AEMO is seeking a market response.
AEMO has not yet estimated the latest time it would need to intervene through an AEMO intervention event.

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